Monday, May 23, 2005

Afleet Alex

I am no horse racing genius, but I did stay in a holiday inn express last night. Just to prove once again, how dumb you have to be to sports gamble, here is the anatomy of great sports bet:

1:00 PM I decide that Jaucomo is a steal at 10-1. He obviously won the derby, so he should win easily

2:00 PM My girlfriend who "likes horse racing" tells me that the favorite Afleet Alex should win, followed by the horse that is picked second. When I remind her that she is just telling me the odds, she does not seem deterred.

2:30 I bet 10 tradesport contracts on Jaucomo for 10$. I feel like a 100$ payoff and a taste on the race will be worth it. And now I have stake in it, because I do not think Jaucomo should be a 10-1

3:00 I start thinking that maybe Afleet Alex is not a bad bet. 1. because if he loses I have to hear I told you so. 2. Because everyone on TV is talking about Jaucomo. 3. Bob Costas is at the Pimlico and that would make him a "great story" being there

3:30 I get a gut feeling and sell my 10 contracts on Jaucomo and buy 30 contracts on Afleet alex at .21 so $63 to win $237.

The race was amazing. Afleet Alex and Jaucomo start slow and wind up in the back of the pack. Afleet takes the inside and at the halfway mark starts blowing every horse out of the water. Making them look like they are standing still. Just when he looks like he is going to crush the race and take it down, the lead front running horse cuts him off causing him to trip and the jock to nearly get throwin forward off the horse. This caused me to almost throw my remote through the television. Then Alex holds on in one of the most amazing recoveries I have ever seen and takes it down giving me a sports betting bankroll again.

Matt